Russia has reached the stage of deep crisis that it will not overcome. There are the fall off industry, the reduction of import and export, the rise in price of the communal services, goods and foodstuffs everywhere.

The crisis of Russia, as a result, had impact on subsidy Dagestan. There are a lot of dismissals, the rise in price and the fall in trade in Dagestan. The people now spend their money on food and economize on the rest. We can see the fall of the purchasing capacity and crediting. Those passionate speeches about the development of the economy have turned to be meaningless.

A simple average man has seen that the puppet authorities are unable to solve the economic problems not using the high oil prices. The talks about budgets of milliards, increase of the tax base have proved to be groundless. Now the talk on sessions of Dagestan government is not about development but survival.

Most likely that the tax burden will be intensive for the simple Dagestan people, in purpose to solve one’s problems, as ever, for account of the nation.

In the conditions of the rise in price, increase of the communal payments and inflation this tax pressure will result in bad consequences.

To take off last money of the people that are losing a lot will dissatisfy as the simple people so those officials whose business was in shadow economy many years.

Many Dagestan people are returning from Moscow and the regions of Russia because of the crisis.

The increase of the unemployment in the reduced circumstances will cause the rise of criminality in Dagestan.

The Dagestan militia that is in the frontline in the struggle with mudjaheds can’t stop this decuman wave that will flow over the capital at first and then trade towns like Derbent and Hasavurt.

The registration of crimes was concealed. The numerous serious criminal offences and crimes in the sphere of economy and taxes are concealed for bribes by the officials of the law machinery. But this conceal will not help because the rise of the violent crimes will become so evident that it will be impossible to keep back any more.

The backpay, the debts on pay, the real decrease of the purchasing capacity will bring to the destitution of the great contingent of people that will form a protest mass ready to give support to any kinds of protest right up to demonstrations, strikes and actions of rebellion, calls to overthrow the government and to separate from Russia.

The bad conditions of the youth will become more worse.

In conditions of the risen unemployment and being socially unprotected a lot of young people will commit unlawful acts against the authorities.

The absence of a clear youth politics and the window-dressing of the authorities will harshly stress the difference between the real situation and the populism of the authorities.

In conditions of the crisis the youth and adolescent criminality will rise. The quantity of the ownerless children, drug addiction and prostitution will increase.

The young people as the most protesting part of population seeing that the puppet authorities are unable to solve not the financial nor spiritual problems of the youth will give support to the mudjaheds.

The rise in price on the conveyance while world prices on fuel are falling and the rise in price on goods and services have reduced the commodity circulation much and this reduction will go on. The quantity of the engaged in the field of trade has been reduced. Many Dagestan people stopped going to Pyatigorsk and Moscow for goods. The ferrymen on these directions and others have been hard hit by the crisis.

The increase of the rate of dollar and euro has caused the rise in price on import production. This has resulted in the reduction of the commodity circulation.

The fall of the rate of ruble and the increase of the American and European currency will bring to rise in price more and more.

In summer a crisis is not such evident as in autumn-winter season when they may disconnect the supply of gas, water and electricity because of the nonpayment of the inhabitants. Usually mass protests happen.

Maybe the colonial authorities being afraid of the separatism will meet the liabilities of the Dagestan people. However the resources of the budget will not be enough even to solve the everyday problems, not to speak of the problems coming like a snowslide.

Russia is coming on the situation of 90-th years. The economic crisis will cause a political one. The thoughts of the separatism will become more frequent in different regions. The centralization of the authority will weaken and the regional leaders will make use of it. Dagestan with the evidently weak leader Muhu Aliev at the head will be one of the subjects that will bring to Russia more and more problems.

The corrupt puppet authorities in response on the loyality of the centre will demand subsidies in the former size.

The main theme of the speculations and bargaining will be the theme how to hold Dagestan in the orbit of Russia. But that will not help as the process of alienation of Dagestan has gone too far. Apart from the financial question and the real extortion of money from Moscow, the authorities of the Kremlin and the local puppets don’t have common interests.

The Moscow policy is constructed on repressions and terror against not agreeing.

Taking into account the mentality and the confession of Islam this policy will result in increase of the resistance to the violence in the Caucasus. The boundaries of the war will be extended.

JamaatShariat.com